If institutions and hot money are not the main force of yesterday's smashing, how did yesterday's high opening and low walking form?Yesterday, both the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index opened sharply higher and went lower, which was very ugly. After the A-share market closed, the decline of Hong Kong stocks expanded. Last night, the FTSE A50 and Nasdaq China Jinlong Index both showed obvious corrections, and the China Jinlong Index fell by more than 4%!Yesterday's trading data and today's disk changes show that the short-term market pattern is quietly changing!
Friends who have been paying attention to Junge know that Junge mentioned in his article last Friday that the key force driving the market to break through that day was the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF, which was the exclusive market entry channel for the national team. It can be seen that the national team entered the stadium ahead of schedule on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party.In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.Of course, today's trading data has not yet been released, and Jun Ge only guessed the organization's position adjustment behavior based on experience. Whether this is the case or not, the answer will be clear after the data of the dragon and tiger list of the exchange comes out.
What does this mean? To put it simply, when the market opened sharply higher yesterday, the main institutions were unwilling to chase after it, so the decrease in buying was very obvious. However, the selling of institutional seats was basically the same as that on Monday. This shows that the main institutions did not deliberately borrow good shipments yesterday. In terms of hot money, it was still a net inflow yesterday.Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14